Examples of ongoing projects

For 15 years, ESMIA consultants have been involved in large-scale projects aimed at developing and applying 3E optimization models, policy analyses and technology assessments for high-profile organisations within Canada as well as in the International arena.

MEXICO. Building capacity for the development of an optimization energy model for Mexico: comprehensive training course and technical support.

Fundación IDEA es una importante organización mexicana de tipo “Think Tank”, cuya misión es desarrollar y promover políticas públicas que sostengan una mayor igualdad de oportunidades a los mexicanos a través el desarrollo económico y social. La Fundación IDEA cuenta con el apoyo de la Embajada del Reino Unido en México para llevar a cabo un estudio sobre de las políticas energética y climática con el apoyo de la Secretaría de energía mexicana. Este proceso incluye el desarrollo de un modelo de optimización TIMES que represente al sistema energético mexicano en detalle y su aplicación para el análisis de escenarios de referencia y de las políticas públicas. El objetivo de este proyecto consiste en apoyar con formación y herramientas técnicas al equipo de Fundación IDEA sobre VEDA-TIMES, Esto, respectivamente, a través del manejo de los módulos básico, intermedio y avanzado y con la colecta de datos, la calibración de escenarios de referencia, modelado de políticas y el análisis de los impactos de las políticas públicas.

Model: TIMES-Mexico

Funding: UK Embassy in Mexico

USA - VERMONT. Analyze Policies and Technologies to Achieve Ambitious Vermont’s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) and Renewable Energy Goals for 2050.

The state of Vermont represents a sustainability leader by adopting one of the nation’s most ambitious goals: 75% reduction in GHG emissions by 2050 with 90% of renewable energy. The Department of Public Service is required to report to the Legislature on a “total energy” study of policies and funding mechanisms designed to achieve the state’s goals as a framing document to draft the next state Comprehensive Energy Planning process. In this context, the project aims at: 1) evaluating 15 combinations of policy sets and technology pathways, 2) defining the pacing for three combinations that rate the best on achievability, compatibility, and robustness criteria, 3) performing a detailed assessment of costs of each three scenarios against a baseline using the FACETS model, 4) mapping the cost results to the REMI software tool inputs for further economic impact analysis.

ModelFACETS (Framework for Analysis of Climate-Energy-Technology Systems) model with REMI (Regional Economic Models Inc.)

Resultshttp://facets-model.com/vermontportal/

Partner: With Dunsky Energy Expertise for Vermont Department of Public Service

CANADA. Trottier Energy Futures Project: Identifying alternative strategies and selecting an optimal strategy for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 80% in Canada by 2050.

Reducing GHGs by 80% is a significant challenge for Canada: it involves a transition toward major technological changes that goes beyond traditional energy efficiency improvements and low-carbon energy production. This project aims at identifying optimal strategies that would allow Canada achieving such an ambitious goal involving a significant contribution from all energy sectors as well as a large accessibility to existing and emerging technologies.

Model: NATEM-Canada in combination with the Canadian Energy System Simulator (CanESS)

Project site: Trottier Energy Futures Project  

CANADA – NEWFOUNDLAND and LABRADOR. Impact of new pipeline projects on the oil and gas industry in Newfoundland: An analysis of the interactions affecting the supply and demand sectors.

In the fast-evolving context characterizing the Canadian oil sector (unconventional oil discoveries, pipeline projects, shale oil production in North Dakota, new refinery projects or refinery closures, etc.), this project is intended to analyze the complex interactions between Canadian and global oil demand on one side and oil supply from Alberta and offshore Newfoundland both in terms of prices and volumes on the other side. We are using a hybrid approach mixing three complementary models in a soft-linking framework: 1) a forecasting model for reserves and oil production profiles working on a project basis, 2) the optimization LP model NATEM to study the relation between oil prices and quantities between the East and West Canadian coasts, the dynamic between crude oil and refined products on the East coast and to evaluate the cost for different pipeline capacity limits and 3) the macroeconomic model NALEM to connect macro-economic growth with the demand for offshore crude oil and to explain the impact of variations in oil prices on Newfoundland & Labrador GDP.

Modèle: NATEM – The North American TIMES Energy model (www.natem.ca) in combination with a forecasting model and NALEM – Newfoundland and Labrador Econometric Model

Partner:  IEC – Intelligent Energy Consulting – Yuri Alcocer et Olivier Bahn – HEC Montreal

FundingCentre for Applied Research in Economics (CARE) at the Memorial University of Newfoundland (MUN)

EUROPE. Building incremental ETSAP-DEMO models for advanced users of VEDA-TIMES.

Building from the first ETSAP-DEMO models for beginners and intermediate users, the objective of this project is to integrated additional steps for advanced features such as stochastic modeling and linking with macroeconomic modules. Starting with the energy balance of EU27 a complete model is built starting with a simple supply curve feeding a single demand and grows into a model that uses incrementally new parameters of TIMES. VEDA features are revealed accordingly when they are demanded by the situation. All models and associated steps are clearly documented.

ModelETSAP-DEMO models  for VEDA-TIMES

Partner: With E4SMA

FundingEnergy Technology Systems Analysis Program (ETSAP) of the International Energy Agency

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Examples of previous projects

Development of Integrated Energy Models

Our consultants have had the chance to participate to the development of world-class energy integrated models of the MARKAL/TIMES family with privileged partners.

FACETS –  Framework for Analysis of Climate-Energy-Technology Systems

Contribution to the extraction of the Vermont State from the aggregated New England region and to the calibration of a baseline reflecting the current state of the Vermont energy system. With KANLO/KanORS and Evelyn Wright

ETSAP- DEMO Models pour VEDA-TIMES

Contribution to the conception and calibration of incremental ETSAP-DEMO models used for VEDA-TIMES training activities for beginners, intermediate and advanced users. With E4SMA for ETSAP

Multiregional TIMES-Canada Model

Original conception and development, database maintenance and model calibration for technological assessment of Canadian energy and climate policies in 13 province/territories through 2050. With the E2G team at GERADResearch project funded by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) and the Quebec Ministry of Economic Development, Innovation and Export Trade (MDEIE).

PET – Pan European TIMES Model

Analysis and selection of the main energy databases and contribution to calibration of end use sectors of 29 European countries during the NEEDS – New Energy Externalities Developments for Sustainability project. With KANLO/KanORS for the European Commission

EFDA – European Fusion Development Agreement Model 

Contribution to the adaptation of the 15 region World- TIMES model for nuclear fusion market share analysis through 2100.With KANLO/KanORS for the European Commission

SAGE – System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets Model

Contribution to database development and to the 15 region model calibration through 2030 for the annual publication International Energy Outlook. With KANLO/KanORS for the Energy Information Administration (EIA) of US Department of Energy (DOE).

NE-MARKAL – New England MARKAL Model

Contribution to the model calibration for greenhouse gas mitigation scenario analysis through 2050. With KANLO/KanORS for the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

Multirégional MARKAL-Canada Model

Contribution to database development for Atlantic and Nordic provinces and calibration of the 13 region model for the analysis of options for greenhouse gas mitigation during the Canadian National Climate Change Implementation Process (NCCP). With KANLO/KanORS for the Government of Canada

Policy Analysis and Technology Assessment

Our consultants have a successful track record of energy related projects for clients across both private and public sectors within Canada as well as in the International arena.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Proposed Regulations to Require Renewable Fuels Content in Canadian Fuels. With EcoRessources Consultants for Environment Canada.

A Socio-Economic Analysis of the Canadian Residential Wood Heating Sector. With EcoRessources Consultants for Environment Canada.

Low Carbon Emissions Technology Deployment: Market Opportunities and Barriers. With EcoRessources Consultants and Point Carbon for National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy (NRTEE).

Analysis of the renewable electricity production opportunities in the agricultural sector. With EcoRessources Consultants for Union des producteurs agricoles (UPA) du Québec.

Analysis of the Logistical Costs Associated with Second Generation Biofuel Feedstocks. With EcoRessources Consultants for Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.

Analysis of the impacts of a hydrocarbon royalty in Quebec on TransCanada’s assets in the province and follow-up on the provincial legislation. With EcoRessources Consultants for TransCanada.

Study on benchmarking the large scale infrastructure necessary for the blending, transportation, storage, distribution and integration of biodiesel into transportation fuels in Canada. With EcoRessources Consultants and Sine Nomine for Environment Canada.

The Environmental Impacts of Transportation Fuel Production and Distribution and their Economic Value. With EcoRessources Consultants for Transport Canada.

Completion of a Literature Review of Emission Reducing Technologies and Best Practices for Shippers, Carriers and Distribution Centers by transportation mode: A cost-benefice analysis. With EcoRessources Consultants and Levelton Consultants for Transport Canada.

Integrated Analysis of Options for GHG Emission Reduction with MARKAL-Canada for the National Climate Change Process (NCCP). Government of Canada.

Techno-economic study on industrial bioproducts produced from agricultural biomass. With EcoRessources Consultants for Ministère de l’Agriculture, des pêcheries et de l’Alimentation du Québec (MAPAQ).

Analysis of the energy efficiency potential in municipalities. With EcoRessources Consultants for Fédération québécoise des municipalités.

The evolution of the energy sector of Quebec in a context of sustainable development. With EcoRessources Consultants for Engineers Association.

Detailed analysis of energy consumption and techno-economic potential for energy economies in the transportation sector of Quebec. With EcoRessources Consultants for Energy Efficiency Agency of Quebec.

Analysis of the biofuel markets for the agricultural producers in the Province of Quebec. With EcoRessources Consultants for Fédération des producteurs de cultures commerciales du Québec (FPCCQ).

Internalization of the environmental costs of food transportation. Greenhouse gas and criteria air contaminant emission assessment of products imported in Quebec. With EcoRessources Consultants for Union des producteurs agricoles (UPA) du Québec.

Support to the development of the development of an energy efficiency program for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the Province of Quebec. With EcoRessources Consultants for Energy Efficiency Agency of Quebec.

Quantitative evaluation of the biofuel and biomass production potential in the farms of the Mauricie region. With EcoRessources Consultants for Fédération régionale de l’Union des producteurs agricoles (UPA) Mauricie.

Feasibility study on the sunflower production for the biodiesel industry in the region “Centre-du-Québec”. With EcoRessources Consultants for Syndicat des producteurs de cultures commerciales du Centre-du-Québec.

Project BASIC – Linking Climate Mitigation Policy and Modeling in China: Evaluation of Chinese energy models for GHG reduction scenario analysis. European Commission.

Coping with High and Volatile Oil Prices in the Power Sector in Central America and the Caribbean. With Intelligent Energy Consulting for World Bank Treasury.

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